Was FDU-Purdue the most significant upset in NCAA males’s history?
It took 33 years for a 16-seed to knock off a 1-seed: when UMBC beat Virginia in the 2018 NCAA competition. It just took five years for a second 16-seed to do it, with Fairleigh Dickinson spectacular the nation by beating Purdue in the first round on Friday night, 63-58.
While UMBC made history as the first 16-seed to beat a 1-seed, Fairleigh Dickinson took it one step further: The Knights are the first 16-seed from the First 4 to do it.After beating
Texas Southern in Wednesday’s First Four match, head coach Tobin Anderson made a pronouncement that set the phase for Friday’s significant upset.
“The more I enjoy Purdue, the more I think we can beat them,” he informed his group in the locker room.So how did the Knights do it? And where does this game rank in history? ESPN’s guys’s college basketball specialists Jeff Borzello, John Gasaway, Joe Lunardi and Myron Medcalf break all of it down. — Jeff Borzello
Image by Dylan Buell/Getty Images Were does this upset rank all time?Myron Medcalf: Well,it’s the 2nd 16-seed to ever beat a 1-seed, so it’s no lower than 2nd. The Virginia team UMBC defeated was more recognized and talented. A year later on, the Cavs won the nationwide title.There were certainly Purdue skeptics who questioned if Zach Edey had the
assistance to advance to the Final Four. But Fairleigh Dickinson is No. 298 on KenPom right now. No. 298. This team has 12 losses to sub-200 KenPom groups. Twelve. And the Knights are just here since Merrimack was ineligible for the postseason due to its shift to Division I athletics.When you factor all of that in, and you pit them versus a group with the man who is going to be the consentaneous Wooden Award winner … This may be the greatest upset we have actually ever seen. Wow.John Gasaway: This is the big one. Sure, fellow No. 16 seed UMBC beat Virginia by 20 in 2018. But look at the scenarios in 2023. The Knights lost the NEC title game to Merrimack.
They entered the game listed below Louisville at KenPom. On paper, this is among the weakest teams we have actually seen in the NCAA tournament in years. And, oh, by the method, they just made history. Forget the paper! Well done, FDU!Editor’s Picks 2 Related Jeff Borzello: Fairleigh Dickinson’s path to this game separates it. The Knights were one of the worst groups in college basketball last season, completing 4-22 overall and ranking No. 345 at KenPom to end the 2021-22
season. Tobin Anderson, a coach with absolutely no Department I experience, was worked with in May. Ten months later on, he has actually directed Fairleigh Dickinson to this moment. This is a group that didn’t win either the routine season championship or the conference competition in the NEC, the worst conference in the nation. The Knights had to make it through the First 4 just to get to this game. It’s a fish story, and an even larger upset than UMBC’s. Joe Lunardi: This is closer to Chaminade over UVa and Ralph Sampson than UMBC over Virginia in 2018. All are historical; this is inconceivable. Particularly, UMBC was not group number 68 on the seed list(however closer to a 15-seed general ). My remaining concern: How did FDU lose 15 times?FDU is the quickest team in the tournament.Why did Purdue, and Zach Edey, struggle so much?Borzello: Purdue was dreadful from 3-point range, to put it simply. Edey was fine. He had 21 points and 15 rebounds, right around his season averages. But his supporting cast had a hard time at the incorrect time. They stopped working to get him the ball when it mattered, mostly because they could not enter into their offense versus FDU’s defense. Fletcher Loyer made 3 3s, but Braden Smith and Mason Gillis integrated toshoot 2-for-13 from behind the arc. As a group, the Boilermakers shot 19.2%from 3. They turned it over 16 times. FDU landed the first punch, put Purdue on its heels and never let the Boilermakers get comfortable.Medcalf: We have to define “battle” here. Edey still finished with 21 points on a 7-for-11 getaway. What FDU did so well? They limited his touches. They sent out multiple bodies at him whenever he desired the ball, wore him down and dared his team to beat them. Guess what? Everyone not named Zach Edey integrated to end up 12-for-42 for Purdue. That’s an issue. It was a brilliant gamble by Tobin Anderson. He didn’t rely on the other men to carry out because moment with Edey dealing with all that pressure. And it worked.Gasaway: Your height doesn’t help you if you’re shooting 19 %on your threes and committing 7 more turnovers than the opponent. Edey was his normal self. Purdue as a group was tried and found desiring on one incredible evening.Lunardi: Why? Because the NCAA tournament is the supreme expression of what the statisticians call”small sample size. “FDU would never win a best-of-seven versus any of the top teams in the bracket, but the Knights didn’t need to. They just needed to win 40 minutes.How much further can FDU enter this tournament?Gasaway: Here’s your bulletin board system material, Knights! FDU is not going much further in this bracket. The Knights ‘next game will protest a challenger ensured to be older, more experienced and more versatile than the No. 1 seed that FDU just beat. But who knows? How many brackets had the Knights
making it this far?Borzello: I had Memphis beating Purdue in the second round before the NCAA tournament, so I didn’t have a ton of faith in the Boilermakers making a deep run this month. But it’s not as if the Tigers have been incredibly consistent this season.
And Memphis’first-round challenger, FAU, wouldn’t have a huge athleticism and size benefit. Fairleigh Dickinson will be a massive underdog no matter challenger– and I’ll likely choose versus them again!– but the Knights are having fun with plenty of confidence. They’ll have momentum. And the whole arena will lag them.Medcalf: Somewhere, Cent Hardaway is probably dancing today. FDU is going to play the specific reverseof Purdue if the Tigers can advance to the 2nd round. The speed Kendric Davis and Co. use is one couple of teams can manage. But this might be it for FDU even if Memphis fails to advance.And if it is, who cares? Every member of that group, down to the folks on the training personnel and anyone affiliated with that group, will be considered legends for the rest of their lives and beyond. Difficult to imagine FDU discovering a method to stable itself prior to the next round, however. After UMBC beat Virginia by 20 points in 2018, it scored just 43 points in a loss to Kansas State in the second round.Lunardi: All I can think about is the possibility of FDU versus FAU and the Knights advancing by virtue of a typo. FDU fans have to remain in the “Why not? “phase by now, and perhaps we ought to join them.We have actually now seen 3 significant teams get removed. What does this say about this tournament to you?Lunardi: There are 67 games in the NCAA tournament. I suspect in the majority of 67-game samples of the routine season, we ‘d find a couple of heavy underdog triumphes. Add in neutral courts, tight officiating and the pressure of one-and-one and it all becomes a flammable, wonderful mix.Gasaway: This tournament is a wonderful generator of thrilling and random patterns every year. That doesn’t mean “anything can take place.”Strictly speaking, the champion is still extremely most likely to come from a fairly small number of teams. However what we learn each and every single March without exception is that absolutely any team can lose. Purdue discovered it in 2023. Borzello: It’s the NCAA competition! This is what takes place. More so than just 3 high-major programs losing in the preliminary so far, it’s one 1-seed
and one 2-seed. These are seeds that utilized to be nearly immune to first-round upsets. A 1-seed never lost until 2018. A 2-seed was certainly less rare, but now it’s happened 6 times in the last three NCAA competitions. There was parity at the top of the sport all season, and it’s showing itself this week.Medcalf: That it’s the most gorgeous sporting event worldwide and it should not be expanded. It’s perfect where it is
. You only need to be great for one afternoon/evening. And if you are, magic can occur. However it likewise speaks to the parity within the landscape this season. I never thought we had a fantastic team this season. I don’t think we have a team that would beat in 2015’s Kansas group. Still, these upsets have actually been stunning. It speaks with the power of the NCAA tournament.