Notable bets: College basketball pointers off ‘sharp bettors’ paradise
David Purdum, ESPN Personnel WriterNov 6, 2023, 11:30 AM ET
- Signed up with ESPN in 2014
- Journalist covering gambling industry considering that 2008
The busiest three weeks in sports wagering start now.College basketball suggestions off Monday with a slate of more than 100 games. College football and the NFL continue with the NBA and NHL seasons both underway. Bookies are stretched thin, and savvy gamblers know it.The college basketball market in November is
made up of primarily major wagerers, while the casual wagering public is concentrated on football. Oddsmakers must stay up to date with more than 300 college basketball groups, much of which feature significantly different lineups from last season. Betting limits are smaller and lines are unpredictable, but the pros love it. “It’s the most challenging of the sports to book, “Adam Pullen, a longtime Las
Vegas bookmaker with Caesars, stated.” It’s hard to keep up with every team and know everything about every game. You’re simply trying to scrape by until we get to the conference season.”College basketball is a sharp wagerers’paradise.”Pullen said he’s still making his group at
Caesars the preferred to come out ahead on college hoops in November, however knows they have their work cut out for them.November college basketball is so rewarding that betting groups will stop playing college football and the NFL entirely. They also increase their efforts get access to more sportsbook accounts.Right Angle Sports, an influential wagering distribute commonly referred to by bookies as RAS, states it commits 14 people to college basketball, dividing the 362 teams among them.
In contrast, sportsbooks might have simply a handful of bookies responsible for college basketball.On Sunday, New Jersey-based expert bettor Gadoon”Spanky “Kyrollos said on X, previously known as Twitter,”Tomorrow the real madness starts,” and motivated fans to consider a”betting collaboration with my crew. “Betting neighborhoods on social networks, like the GoldBoys Discord, also are eagerly waiting for the beginning of college basketball, a time when eagle-eyed gamblers spot almost daily blatant mistakes by overloaded bookmakers. There’s a legendary, unconfirmed tale from last season about a sportsbook noting an IUPUI game two times on its wagering menu. Wagerers used parlays to make a big score.”College basketball season, oh, yeah, it gets harsh, “Matt McAfee, a professional bettor and material manufacturer for GoldBoys and other outlets, stated. “I suggest, it’s cash every day.
“That hasn’t held true for the wagering throughout football season. October was especially pricey for bettors, however Sunday was different.Favorites fuel winning day for NFL bettors Heading into the Monday night game, NFL favorites are 9-4 versus the spread in Week 9, with just two outright upsets.Caesars Sportsbook and the SuperBook each reported a losing Sunday, capped by the favored Cincinnati Bengals ‘win over the Buffalo Bills in a heavily bet Sunday prime-time game.”We didn’t have lots of choices go our method today,”John Murray, executive director of the SuperBook in Las Vegas, told ESPN.”We didn’t have an excellent weekend on the collegiate or professional arena, but the Breeders ‘Cup was extremely effective for us. We had a great weekend on the horse side.”We are off a stretch of 3 directly huge weekends in both college and professional football [for your home] so there is no requirement for your readers to pity us, “Murray joked.”I understand they want to. They enjoy to feel pity for the bookie. However please.
Not this time. I do not accept.”NFL betting notables – 10 of 13 games in Week 9 went under the total, and 61.7%of games this season have gone under, the highest under percentage through nine weeks in 33 years.
– The line on the Dolphins-Chiefs game crashed Sunday early morning before kickoff, with some books closing with Miami as the preferred. The Chiefs opened as 2.5-point
favorites and attracted some early interest from sharp wagerers during the days leading up to the game in Germany. However, as the week advanced, the action was uneven on the Dolphins.A lot of Miami cash
showed up today,”Tom Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata in Atlantic City, informed ESPN on Sunday.Craig Mucklow of Caesars Sportsbook stated the line had been holding stable at Kansas City -2, until Saturday, when”all of it simply was available in on the Dolphins.”Mucklow said the Chiefs’21-14 win over the Dolphins produced the biggest win of the day for Caesars. – October had produced
weekly big NFL upsets, resulting in a beast month for sportsbooks. However only two underdogs– the Vikings and Commanders– won outright this week.
“In weeks past, we have actually been fortunate to have among those big favorites lose outright, “Pullen of Caesars said.”That did not happen this week.”
Caesars was slightly ahead for the day entering the Bills-Bengals game and needed underdog
Buffalo to avoid its very first losing NFL Sunday in a while. Cincinnati won 24-18, covering the 1.5-point closing spread. – The extremely prepared for Cowboys-Eagles game Sunday drew in relatively well balanced action at sportsbooks, including at The Borgata, which is generally swamped with Philadelphia money. Gable, The Borgata’s sportsbook director, told ESPN that his book never was forced to move the point spread off the essential number of Philadelphia -3 and had just a small decision on the game. – Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud is a -450 odds-on favorite to win Offensive Novice of the
Year, after his prolific performance(470 yards, five goals)in a win over the Buccaneers.Week 10 lines [via ESPN BET by Penn National] [As of Monday] Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (Thursday)(-3.5, 40.5), Indianapolis Colts( -2, 43.5)at New England Patriots Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 36.5)Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens(-6, 38.5)San Francisco 49ers (-3, 44.5)at Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1,(-105), 40.5 New Orleans Saints(-2.5, 40.5)at Minnesota Vikings Atlanta Falcons (-2.5, 41.5) at Arizona Cardinals New York City Giants at Dallas Cowboys(-15.5, 39.5)Washington Commanders at Seattle Seahawks(-6.5, 44.5) College football betting notables Notable
opening lines: [through Las Vegas-based sportsbook Circa Sports, among the very first books to post weekly college football lines] – The overall on
Saturday’s Rutgers-Iowa game opened as low as 28.5, which
would be most affordable total in at least the past 24 years, according to ESPN Statistics & Information.The total on last week’s Iowa-Northwestern game at Wrigley Field opened as low as 29.5, which would’ve been the most affordable for a college football game given that at least 2000,
but gamblers bet the line up to 32 at kickoff. Iowa won 10-7. Fourteen of
Iowa’s previous 20 games have gone under the total.College basketball betting notables
Chances to win the championship game [through ESPN BET by Penn National; as of Nov. 6]