CFP projections: Why this year’s Red River matters, and can

Seth Walder, ESPN AnalyticsOct 6, 2023, 12:30 PM ET Just how huge is this year’s Red River rivalry game between No. 3 Texas and No. 12 Oklahoma?It’s huge. It might be the last time a Huge 12 showdown occurs in between Texas and Oklahoma unless they reunite in the conference championship game. Next year, they will remain in the SEC. Both teams go into Saturday’s game (midday ET, ABC/ESPN App) unbeaten, and the winner takes a huge action towards the Big 12 title contest.Texas-Oklahoma likewise has massive implications on the College Football Playoff race: It’s the second-most impactful staying game before conference championships, behind only Penn State-Ohio State on Oct. 21, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor.Currently, Oklahoma( 53 %)and Texas(50 %)are the 2nd-and

third-most likely groups to reach the CFP, behind only Ohio State( 54% ). ESPN Here are the opportunities for Oklahoma and Texas to reach the College Football Playoff, depending upon Saturday’s outcome: Oklahoma with a win: 72%Oklahoma with a loss: 30%Texas with a win:

73%Texas with a loss: 29
%Oklahoma likewise has an opportunity to win out. The Sooners have a 24%

chance to finish the routine season 12-0. They have more than an 88 %chance to beat each of their staying non-Texas games in the regular season (and a 54 %possibility to beat Texas ). The game likewise has substantial take advantage of on the possibility to reach the Big 12 championship game: Oklahoma with a win: 96%Oklahoma with a loss: 70 %Texas with a win:

91%Texas with a loss: 67
%The amazing parity in the
playoff race is still holding strong: There are 10 teams with a minimum of a 20%possibility to reach the CFP and 13 teams with at least a 5% probability.Meanwhile, in the SEC … Another race with an utilize game is Kentucky-Georgia in the SEC East. The Bulldogs are heavy favorites(86%possibility to win )however if Kentucky pulls off the upset there will be significant implications.Chance to win SEC East, depending on result: Kentucky with a win: 38%Kentucky with a loss: 1 %Georgia with a win: 87 %Georgia with a loss: 40%Similarly, Alabama-Texas A&M has

big repercussions in the SEC West. Alabama has a 66%
possibility to win the game
, per FPI.Chance to win SEC West, depending upon result: Alabama

with a win: 86%Alabama with a loss: 34%Texas A&M with a win: 42 %Texas A&M with a loss: 2%