CFP Anger Index: Unloading the outrage of Florida State’s snub
- David Hale, ESPN Personnel WriterDec 3, 2023,
- 03:21 PM ET Close ACC reporter.Joined ESPN in 2012. Graduate of the University of Delaware.To echo the terrific prognosticator Clubber Lang, we had just one apparent forecast for the last college playoff rankings of the four-team era: pain.There are 5 groups– six if you count Georgia(unless you want to be added to Kirby Smart’s opponents list )– with a valid argument for making the playoff, however for the last time, there are just four spots.And, if we have actually read our stages of sorrow appropriately, the next step after pain is anger(followed carefully by bourbon and basketball season ). And there’s a lot to be upset about.So, as the committee retreats to its safe and secure bunker to suffer the coming armageddon, let’s dive into our final Anger Index of the year. There’s a great deal of outrage to unpack.
In the olden days, we had a charm contest. The leading team in the country was decided entirely by the voters.Then we moved
to a better system, one determined in part by computers that a minimum of included some math to the abstract rationalizing while also permitting 2 teams to choose it on the field.Then we transferred to a
four-team playoff, and the whole point was to get rid of the hypotheticals and let a champ be crowned by the actual results on the field. If you won your games, you had an opportunity to win a national title.Turns out, all of that was a charade. None of it mattered. The games are meaningless. What takes place on the field is less important than what a committee thinks may happen in a future matchup.It is an outright slap in the face to every player who has actually ever placed on a helmet, laced up cleats and marched onto the field to battle for a victory, due to the fact that a lot of folks in a conference room in Texas chose their sacrifice was not as important as the Las Vegas line on a prospective playoff matchup.It’s a joke.devastated. heartbroken. In a lot shock registered nurse, I wish my leg broke earlier in the
season so y’ all could see this team is much more than the quarterback. I believed results matter. 13-0 and this lineup compares across any group in those top 4 rankings. I am so sorry. Go Noles!– Jordan Travis(@jordantrav13) December 3, 2023 Yes, Florida State is without starting QB Jordan Travis, indicating it would have to play with a quarterback who
wasn’t its opening-week starter in order to win a national title, and of course that couldn’t happen. After all, only 2014 Ohio State, 2017 Alabama, 2018 Clemson and 2021 Georgia did that. What are the chances that something that’s happened 44%of the time would occur again?And sure, FSU’s death game was a mess in the ACC championship game. No argument there. Amusing thing though: FSU won its title game by more than Alabama did. In reality, FSU has won its past 2 games by more than Alabama has. And since Travis got harmed in Week 12 against North Alabama, the Seminoles have tossed for just 8 fewer lawns than Michigan has in that same stretch, however there was no debate about Michigan.Oh, and this is most likely unimportant in the face of such a bad quarterback efficiency against Louisville, however there’s also the small matter that the
QB who began that game, Brock Glenn, would not be the QB starting a playoff game(because Tate Rodemaker would run out concussion protocol by then ). The committee cared about one stat when making this choice: FSU’s 55 passing lawns versus Louisville.Here are the statistics it overlooked: 7 sacks, 14 deals with for loss, 10 passes defended, 189 hurrying yards versus a stacked box, a 10-point win over a top-15 team with a QB making his first profession start.Let’s be genuine
about what occurred here: The committee members could not leave the SEC out of the playoff. They didn’t care that Alabama required a wonder to prevent a loss to 6-6 Auburn 2 weeks earlier.
They didn’t care that Georgia’s own injuries– having fun with a banged-up Ladd McConkey and Brock Bowers– most likely played a large part in why the Tide won Saturday. They didn’t care that the ACC has a winning record, head-to-head, versus the SEC this season. They didn’t care that Alabama beat 2023 Georgia, not 2021 or 2022 Georgia. They cared that Alabama and the SEC needed to have an area in the playoff by birthright. And as a result, they sent a message that what took place on the field– the blood, tears and sacrifice that players made all season to win every game on their schedule– was less important than getting the most compelling television matchup.But hey, there’ll be a 12-team playoff next year, so all is forgiven, right? Florida State ended the 2023 regular season with a 13-0 record. David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire Provide the committee this: At least it was consistent. In snubbing Florida State, it determined the”eye test”was more vital than the outcomes, and they applied to that viewpoint in ranking Washington behind Michigan in spite of the Huskies’overwhelmingly more impressive résumé.Check the metrics: Editor’s Picks 2 Associated Wins vs. Top 25 Washington: 5 Michigan: 3 Wins vs. FPI leading 35 Washington: 6 Michigan: 3 ESPN Strength of Record Washington: 1 Michigan: 2 ESPN Strength of Set Up Washington: 11 Michigan: 33 And, of course, as the committee made clear with Florida State, no stat suggests more than passing lawns, right?Washington: 344 per
game Michigan:
219 per game The committee, naturally, is
also allowed to
weigh”other aspects,”which it provided for Florida State. Apparently” having your head coach suspended twice forsubverting two different NCAA guidelines”does not count as an” other
aspect.”Completion outcome: Washington needs to take a trip 2,600 miles to play in the Sugar Bowl instead of providing the Pac-12 its appropriate send-off in the Rose Bowl.Three points.Three.After 29 straight wins and 2 consecutive championship games, a three-point loss with two of its best players fighting injuries and 2 freshmen playing linebacker is what knocked Georgia from No. 1 in the rankings recently to No. 6 this week.Three. Stinking. Points.You know where three points come from? A basket. A kicker. We’re cutting the two-time defending champs out of the playoff
due to the fact that of a kicker? To paraphrase Allen Iverson:”We’re discussing basket? Basket? Not a goal! Not a touchdown! Basket.
“Please, committee
members. Go
stand next to Brock Bowers. Look him in the eye and tell him a basket is why he doesn’t belong in the College Football Playoff.We hope your committee project comes with a good health insurance coverage. There are 12 teams with 2 losses or fewer. Eleven of them are playing a Brand-new Year’s 6 game. The other? Oklahoma.Is that reasonable?Well, Oklahoma has the very best win of the group by far, having actually beaten No. 3 Texas on a neutral field.Oklahoma routes just Oregon among two-loss groups in FPI.Oklahoma has 5 wins vs. FPI Quad 1 opponents. Penn State has one.In Oklahoma’s 6 games vs. Quad 1 opponents, its average score margin is +12. That’s much better than Oregon’s. Oklahoma’s 2 losses have come over a combined eight points, both on the last drive of the game. Aside from a brief 3-0 rating in the very first quarter against Michigan, Penn State
never ever led in either of its losses. Ole Miss was outgained by 314 backyards in its two losses. Missouri allowed 40 points per game in its 2 losses.There is no imaginable reality in which the Sooners do not belong in the New Year’s Six. Thankfully, they’ll be in the
SEC next year, where they won’t need to worry about such substandard treatment. It was an awful day for ACC groups existing
and future.After all, if the committee is just interested in”finest”groups, well are we actually taking Liberty over the Mustangs?Look, we’re not here to refute an undefeated team(Liberty)losing out on the big time. We’re fully #TeamNoLosses. But the committee split hairs to choose the eye test at the top of the rankings, then went the other direction at the bottom of the leading
25. Boo Corrigan simply said that Liberty got the G5 New Year’s Six bowl berth due to the fact that “Liberty simply continued to win.”I can not.– Curt Weiler (@CurtMWeiler)December 3, 2023 Liberty’s strength of record is 14th.
SMU’s is 19th. Advantage Liberty.But FSU was also ahead of Alabama and Texas, which didn’t matter. Instead, the committee went with”finest,” and by those metrics, benefit SMU.Strength of schedule SMU: 76 Liberty: 133(out of 133 )FPI SMU: 20 Liberty: 49 Points margin/game SMU: 23.2 Liberty: 18.1 Wins vs. FPI top 60 SMU: 2 Liberty: 0 Like an umpire in baseball, we don’t ask that every ball and strike is called properly. We simply desire the exact same require both sides. The committee, as usual, comprises the
rules to fit its decision.