Caleb Williams over Trevor Lawrence? We stacked recent first-round NFL

• Matt Miller, NFL draft analystJul 28, 2023, 06:55 AM ET

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  Matt Miller is an NFL draft expert for ESPN, supplying extensive scouting on the country’s top professional prospects. A Missouri native, Matt joined ESPN in 2022 and also adds to SportsCenter, NFL Live and ESPN Radio. You can follow Matt on Twitter via @nfldraftscout.

We have actually already heard a lot about the 2024 NFL draft’s skilled quarterback duo at the top of the class: USC’s Caleb Williams and North Carolina’s Drake Maye. They are both in serious contention to go No. 1 total next April, and Williams is getting “generational talent” buzz before the 2023 college football season even starts. However how do they accumulate as potential customers versus other top-tier signal-callers?

To get a sense of the very best quarterback potential customers of the previous five years, we stacked the 16 passers who were taken in Round 1 over 2019-2023. That conversation covers the similarity Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young and Kyler Murray. Then we dropped Williams and Maye– the just 2 first-round graded QBs in my examinations today– into the mix and ranked them against those recent Day 1 selections.We surveyed NFL scouts

, decision-makers and experts to help construct the list, and pre-draft grades were the only consideration here. What each quarterback has done as a pro isn’t factored in at all, and over -or underperforming in the NFL relative to prepare stock doesn’t matter. We’re just piling all 18 quarterbacks together as though they were all in the very same draft class. So who is No. 1 on the list as the leading quarterback prospect returning to 2019? You may be surprised … Jump to leading QB from each class:2019|2020|2021 2022|2023 Where top 2024 people rank: Williams|Maye