Betting Ohio State vs
-
Pamela Maldonado, Sports Betting
- AnalystOct 11, 2024, 07:16 AM ET Close Pamela Maldonado is a sports betting analyst for ESPN.In a week
highlighted by marquee ranked matchups, No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0) face No. 3 Oregon Ducks (5-0) in a Big Ten face-off for the very first time. Both teams have actually stayed unbeaten through five weeks with a 2-0 record in conference.Buckeyes wide receiver Jeremiah Smith has actually taken the nation by storm, rapidly ending up being a leading choice in an offense led by QB Will Howard. Smith’s incredible efficiencies need to be on full display against a Ducks group that, regardless of a slow start to the year, has actually picked up just recently with 3 straight wins by double digits. QB Dillon Gabriel, who entered the season as the Heisman betting preferred now finds himself in a pivotal match not just for his own Heisman case but in the Big Ten and College Football playoff race. Ohio State opened as a 3-point preferred earlier in the week and the line has considering that remained the exact same with the total set at 53.5. Odds existing since release time, courtesy of ESPN BET The lines Spread: Ohio State(-3)Money line: Ohio State(-165), Oregon(+140)Over/under:
53.5 (-110
/ -110)First-half spread: Ohio State(-110), Oregon (-110 )First-half cash line: Ohio State(-150)
, Oregon(+120)First-half overall points: O/U 22.5 points(-185, +140) Jordan James leads the Oregon Ducks in rushing with 552 lawns and six touchdowns through five games this season. Picture by Ali Gradischer/Getty Images Pamela Maldonado’s choice: Ohio State-Oregon under 53.5 points Oregon’s offending line concerns might be a significant factor in this match. The team has had a hard time to develop a constant beginning unit, resulting in some”patchwork”options. While Oregon has balanced 5 lawns per carry, this fact is inflated by a 7.5 YPC performance versus Oregon State. The Ducks have balanced 4.3 yards or less per enter three of their 5 games played.The offense has shown inconsistency, barely scraping by with a 24-14 win over Idaho and narrowly protecting a 37-34 success versus Boise State. QB Dillon Gabriel, sacked seven times in his first 2
games, has actually because enjoyed much better defense with absolutely no sacks. This disparity makes it tough to with confidence back Oregon as an underdog.What’s specific is that this will be the best defense and pass rush Gabriel has actually dealt with by a large margin. Ohio State has the second-ranked pass enter the nation according to PFF, transforming one-third of their overall pressures into sacks. The Buckeyes are well-positioned to exploit Oregon’s offending inconsistencies.The Ducks’passing game mainly includes short paths and TE targets, often ignoring open receivers downfield. Gabriel ranks outside the top 20 in deep death(23rd)among qualifying quarterbacks, with just a 47%conclusion rate on such attempts and
3 passing touchdowns. Gabriel may still be getting used to a new offending system and teammates. Facing the Buckeyes’ defense while adapting is far from perfect so I expect Oregon’s offense will be limited in this matchup.Betting patterns Courtesy of ESPN Research Study Oregon: would be a home underdog for very first time since 2018(+3.5 vs No. 7 Washington); would snap 34-game streak of being preferred in your home Oregon: 0-3 ATS in the house this season; the last time the Ducks stopped working to cover first four home games of a season was 2021 Oregon: 1-4 ATS in its last 5 as an underdog Ohio State:
8-2 ATS in last 10 conference
-
games More from ESPN