Betting LSU at Texas A&M: Sole possession of SEC lead

• Pamela Maldonado, Sports Betting AnalystOct 24, 2024, 02:10 PM ET Close Pamela Maldonado is a sports betting analyst for ESPN.First place

in the SEC will be up for grabs when the No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies host the No. 8 LSU Tigers on Saturday night.Texas A&M(+105 to

make the College Football Playoff)is 4-0 in conference play and has actually won six straight after dropping its season opener to Notre Dame. LSU(-115 ), likewise on a six-game winning streak after losing its very first game to USC, is right behind at 3-0 in conference play. Both teams are 6-1 overall.The Tigers head into Kyle Field as 2.5-point underdogs to the Aggies.

Kickoff is Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+. Odds present since release time, courtesy of ESPN BET The lines Spread: A&M -2.5 Cash line: A&M -135, LSU +115 Over/under: 54.5(Over -105/ Under-115)First-half spread

: A&M -0.5(

-110), LSU +0.5(-110) First-half cash line: A&M -140, LSU
+110 First-half total points: 26.5(Over -115/ Under -105)Pamela Maldonado’s choice: No. 14 Texas A&M -2.5 vs. No. 8
LSU

Conner Weigman’s current efficiency mean a good day versus a

suspect LSU secondary. Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire LSU’s offense, while potent through the air(ranked seventh in passing with 324 YPG

), struggles on the ground(81st in rushing, 128 YPG). And A&M’s defense has been stout, taping a minimum of seven tackles for loss in 4 consecutive games while matching its season high with 11 in its latest outing.Editor’s Picks 2 Related The Aggies ‘ability to permeate the backfield could interrupt LSU’s offense and force Tigers quarterback Garrett Nussmeier into errors– hurried tosses, sacks, etc. By regularly stopping the run and producing unfavorable plays, Texas A&M can force LSU into predictable passing scenarios, permitting its defense to put more focus on its pass rush and coverage.Offensively, the Aggies have a dominant hurrying attack, scoring eight hurrying touchdowns in their past two games alone, and can potentially exploit an LSU run defense graded 42nd by PFF. South Carolina set up 243 rushing lawns and 4 hurrying ratings previously this season against the Tigers. If A&M has the ability to utilize its run game and be effective on 3rd down, the Aggies can manage the game’s pace, use down LSU’s defense and limit the Tigers’offensive possessions.Success in the run game would likewise help with chances in the death game for the Aggies. In his two games back given that suffering a shoulder injury, A&M quarterback Conner Weigman has displayed outstanding accuracy, completing

70%of his passes. This accuracy could come in convenient against an LSU secondary that ranks 112th in protective success rate against the pass.While Texas A&M’s overall passing data might not be outstanding, Weigman’s current efficiency and the beneficial match versus LSU’s weak pass defense bode well for the home group. Combined with a top-tier defense and potent ground game, the Aggies appear well placed to manage

this matchup and cover the spread.Betting trends Thanks To ESPN Research Study LSU is 12-1 ATS vs Texas A&M given that 2010, the best any Power 4 group has vs single opponent over span.In LSU games, the over is 2-5 this year after going 12-1 last season.Texas A&M is 10-6-1 ATS vs AP top-10 groups since 2017, seventh best in FBS over span.Texas A&M is 1-5-2 ATS as a favorite vs AP top-10 teams given that 2010, worst

in FBS.LSU is 17-9-1 ATS as an underdog

• because 2017, 2nd best among Power 4 teams over span behind Oklahoma State( 19-10). More from ESPN