Betting buzz: LSU opens as huge favorite over USC for
May 29, 2024, 12:00 PM ET Whatever that occurs in sports has some additional context when seen from a sports wagering point of view. From season-changing injuries to record-setting moments therefore much more, the sports news cycle will continuously and considerably impact the sports betting industry.Our wagering buzz file, with contributions from David Purdum, Doug Greenberg, Ian Parker and others, aims to offer fans a take a look at the sports betting stories that are driving the discussion. Secret links: Sports wagering home|
NBA chances page|NHL chances page Might 29: LSU opens as huge preferred over USC for CFB Week 1 David Purdum: We have not reached June yet, but the countdown to college football season has actually started, as point spreads on an interesting Week 1 have struck the board at sportsbooks.Here is a quick look at the opening lines for three huge games through ESPN BET: LSU (-7, 66.5) vs. USC Sept. 1, 7:30 p.m. ET
, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas The Tigers opened as 7-point favorites over USC in a tasty opener on Labor Day in Las Vegas. Both groups are replacing Heisman-winning quarterbacks. The Trojans have been more than a goal underdog in season openers just twice considering that 1978. They were 12-point underdogs to Alabama in a 52-6 loss to the Crimson Tide in 2016 and 11-point underdogs to Florida State in a 14-7 loss in 1997. Clemson vs. Georgia( -13, 48.5) Aug. 31, 12 p.m. ET, Mercedes-Benz Arena, Atlanta The Bulldogs opened as 13-point favorites against Clemson. The Tigers have not
been this big of an underdog since 2012, whenthey were 14.5-point underdogs to Florida State, eventually losing
49-37. Miami( -3.5)vs. Florida Aug. 31, 3:30 p.m. ET, Ben Hill Griffin Arena, Gainesville The Hurricanes opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Gators. The Gators have actually never ever been that big of a home underdog in the
Swamp in a season opener in the
FBS era(1978), according to ESPN Stats & Information.May 28: The leading 5 betting favorites to win the MCWS come from the SEC Outfielder Braden Montgomery is a major reason Texas A&M is preferred heading into the MCWS
. Vasha Hunt-USA TODAY Sports Odds by ESPN BET.Purdum: Texas A&M was the favoriteto win the College World Series at 9-2 on Tuesday at ESPN BET, followed by Tennessee (11-2 )and Arkansas(17-2). Kentucky
and LSU were each 9-1
and rounded out the teams with single-digit odds.LSU, the defending champions, were considered on the bubble to even make the field 2 weeks earlier and need to take a trip to the Chapel Hill, North Carolina, region.The ACC likewise is represented atop the title odds, with Clemson at 11-1, followed by Wake Forest(13-1 )and North Carolina (15-1). The local round starts Friday. The host schools are favored in 12 of the 16 regionals, with Wake Forest(-125), Duke (even), South Carolina (+105)and Dallas Baptist(+140 )roadway favorites in their particular regions.May 27: Breaking down the betting impact of Acuña’s season-ending injury Ronald Acuna Jr. of the Atlanta Braves will miss the remainder of the season with a torn ACL. Justin Berl/Getty Images Greenberg: For the 2nd time because 2021, Atlanta Braves superstar Ronald Acuna Jr.’s season is over too soon due to an ACL tear, though this time it’s in his other knee. While time will inform whether the Braves ‘impressive depth can endure the loss, the betting markets are already responding
to the news. ESPN BET reports that considering that the news of Acuña’s injury was validated, Atlanta moved from +475 to +650 to win the World Series– presently 4th behind the Los Angeles Dodgers( +275 ), New York City Yankees(+500)and Philadelphia Phillies(+500 ). Editor’s Picks 2 Related There were even bigger drop-offs at other sportsbooks, with the Braves falling from +400 to +650 at DraftKings, and from +475 to +800 at BetMGM. Atlanta was seeing strong action to win MLB’s championship, bring in 7.8 %of the bets and 9.8% of the cash at ESPN BET, as well as 8.0%of the tickets and 14.1%of the handle at BetMGM– the second-most cash at the book behind only Los Angeles(14.9%). At DraftKings, the Braves actually have a negative wagering split, taking 8%of the bets with 6%of the handle.Atlanta’s odds to win the National League pennant likewise lengthened on the news, as they now vary from +340 to +400 behind Los Angeles and Philadelphia. Where things truly start to get fascinating is in the race for the division.The Braves opened the season as the clear favorites to win the NL East(-275), but between Acuña’s injury and an excellent very first two months from the Phillies, Atlanta now finds itself
as a +145 underdog to win the department crown, while Philadelphia has actually taken the odds-on lead at -200, per ESPN BET, who made the Phillies favorites even before the injury. At DraftKings, the Acuña news turned the division line from Braves -130 to +125, and Phillies +120 to -165. The distinction in movement here is likely a result of liability: ESPN BET has 70.0%of its tickets and 71.1%of its cash on Philadelphia, whereas DraftKings has 80% of bets and 68%of handle on Atlanta.All of this said, wagerers searching for a buy-low spot ought to pay attention to this factoid: The last time Acuña tore his ACL in 2021, the Braves went on to win the World Series.UFC 302: Prop bets to get the best worth on Islam Makhachev Chances by ESPN BET.Parker: UFC 302 is around the corner(10 p.m. ET on June 1, ESPN+PPV) and if you were wanting to bet on Islam Makhachev in his title defense versus Dustin Poirier, he is presently sitting at -550. So to lower that heavy juice let’s take a look at a couple of props: Makhachev inside the range at -275 As big of a fan as I am of Poirier, it’s difficult to see where he gets it carried out in this battle versus the champ. Unless he captures him with that famous left hook, I anticipate Makhachev to overwhelm Poirier the method Khabib Nurmagomedov made with his fumbling
. In his previous three fights, we have seen Makhachev get it done by both TKO/KO and submission and I don’t see this fight going any in a different way. If you’re aiming to lower that -550 moneyline number, then take Inside the distance at -275. Makhachev to win and under 2.5 rounds -140 In
six of his previous 7 battles, Makhachev has actually won inside the range. In 4 of those battles, he has actually won in under 2.5 rounds. That prop currently sits at -140 which’s a number I can definitely get behind. Poirier is as resilient as it gets, nevertheless he tends to give up his back typically, and approved Benoit Saint-Denis couldn’t make the most of that position, he’s not Makhachev.I believe Round 1 will be at least two minutes of standup, and once Makhachev lands a few strikes he will change it up and take Poirier to the
ground. If he does not get it done in Round 1, I see a similar scenario taking place that occurred in the Poirier vs Oliviera battle. Poirier looked good in Round 1, but once he began taking some shots, he quit his back and it was over.Makhachev to win by submission +105 With a 64 %surface rate and 44%of it by way of submission, at +105 it would not shock me in the smallest bit if Makhachev overwhelmed Poirier with his fumbling and ultimately won via RNC choke.
We have actually seen Makhachev do it time and time again.The other option I can see occurring is him getting the install and transferring to a head and arm triangle. Poirier is a black belt in BJJ, but has been sent before. When you are getting overwhelmed with strikes, you end up helpless and opened to be subbed and I believe that is what will occur here.May 22: Tape $14.1 million bet on table tennis in March with Colorado sportsbooks Purdum: Approximately$14.1 million was banked on table tennis in March with Colorado sportsbooks, a record for the state and more than was run the risk of on golf, mixed martial arts and motorsports combined during the month.Betting on table tennis took off throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, when practically all sports leagues were halted. At the time, tournaments in Russia and Ukraine, a few of which were streamed on sportsbooks ‘apps, were among the only events bettors might discover to wager– despite some suspicious situations. Table tennis brought in $6.6 million in bets in May 2020 with Colorado books, the most of any sport.Table tennis has had remaining power with gamblers, seeing a considerable spike in the amount of money wagered in recent months. The$14.1 million bet on table tennis in March bested the
previous record of $12.6 million in February. BetMGM Sportsbook said betting interest in table tennis is not special to Colorado and that it can top mixed martial arts and golf in other states.”Table tennis happens practically 24/7,”Alex Rella, senior trader for BetMGM told ESPN in an e-mail.”The large volume and speed simply surpasses what mixed martial arts and golf use each weekend. Our consumers likewise love the speed of each game. The fast turn-around is extremely appealing in contrast to major American sports where it can take hours for a game to end.”The most popular table tennis with wagerers presently are kept in Poland, according to BetMGM.May 21: Massachusetts Gaming Commission goes over restricting gamblers Purdum: The Massachusetts Gaming Commission held a public roundtable Tuesday to discuss the questionable bookmaking practice of limiting bettors.Ten sportsbook operators in Massachusetts that were invited to the roundtable decreased to get involved, mentioning concerns over confidentiality of exclusive systems and risk management strategies, and rather requested a personal session to talk about
the topic.According to MGC interim chair Jordan Maynard, the roundtable was prompted by grievances from consumers about having the amount they can wager lowered by the state’s sportsbooks. It included commentary from betting industry experts, a supporter for responsible gambling and a professional wagerer. No new policies were enacted, however the committee continued further conversation of the topic.In its written response to the MGC, Penn Home entertainment, which runs ESPN BET, said it books the right to
change wagering and payout limits.”Penn may limit a customer for different reasons, consisting of benefiting from manipulating the sportsbook or abusing marketing play,”Samantha Haggerty, deputy chief compliance officer for Penn National
, wrote.In addition to Penn Home entertainment, DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics, Caesars Sportsbook, Repetition Boston Harbor and BetMGM were amongst the sportsbooks that decreased to participate and provided written confirmation to the MGC.
A representative for DraftKings stated in a statement that” any meaningful conversation on betting limitations would necessarily involve the disclosure of DraftKings ‘personal danger management practices and other commercially delicate organization information.”