Predicting conference title games: Alabama-Georgia in SEC, Texas-Oklahoma in Big
Tuesday’s release of the first College Football Playoff rankings looks like a great time to sign in with each of the Power 5 conferences and their chances of making it to the last 4, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor.The selection committee ranked Ohio State No. 1, with the Buckeyes having the very best chance to make the CFP at 79%, per the predictor. The committee had Georgia at No. 2, followed by Michigan and Florida State. The predictor, on the other hand, offers Florida State the second-best possibility at 68 %, followed by Michigan(50%) and Georgia (41%). Let’s take a more detailed
take a look at each conference: Big 12 – After its loss to Kansas in Week 9
, Oklahoma went from a 64%possibility to make the playoff to a 28% possibility. ESPN Analytics provides the Sooners a 33%chance to win out( including the Big 12 title game). The Allstate Playoff Predictor would provide a one-loss Big 12 champ Oklahoma an 80%opportunity to make the CFP. – Presently, there is a 47% chance OU and Texas have
a rematch in the Huge 12 title game. If each group wins this weekend, that chance dives to 79%. – Saturday’s Kansas State-Texas matchup (midday ET, FOX) is the Big 12
‘s highest-leverage game staying. – Probably conference champ matchup: Oklahoma-Texas(47%chance of match) ESPN SEC – The SEC has four groups with at least a 5%chance to reach the playoff, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor: Georgia (41 %), Alabama( 29%), Ole Miss (6% )and LSU (5 %). – Georgia is one of five staying unbeaten Power 5 groups, however the Bulldogs rank behind three one-loss teams in strength of record.
That should change down the stretch; Georgia’s strength of schedule ranks 100th in FBS through eight games, but the Bulldogs deal with the sixth-toughest schedule in the nation the remainder of the way. – LSU at Alabama (7:45 p.m. ET, CBS) is the highest playoff utilize game of the week and 3rd highest for the remainder of the season (Ohio State-Michigan,
Michigan-Penn State ). The Tide have actually only missed the playoff two times since its beginning, completing 5th in last season’s rankings and 13th in the last rankings of 2019. – LSU-Bama is among the 4 staying regular-season games between teams that both have at least a 5%opportunity to make the CFP (Michigan-Penn State, Michigan-Ohio State, Georgia-Ole Miss).
– More than likely conference championship match: Alabama-Georgia(63 %) ESPN Huge Ten – Ohio State has a 79%possibility to make the CFP, a 47%possibility to make the title game and a 28%chance to win the champion. – Michigan’s strength of record currently ranks ninth, but the Wolverines have the
most difficult staying schedule in FBS, according to ESPN Analytics. – The Huge 10 has a 44 %possibility to get at least two groups into the CFP. – More than likely championship game match: Iowa-Ohio State(23%)Pac-12 – Saturday’s Washington-USC(7:30 p.m. ET, ABC)contest is the highest-leverage
game remaining in the Pac-12. – After winning at Utah last week, Oregon moved up
six areas in FPI and doubled its CFP opportunities(14 %to 28%). – More than likely conference championship
match: Oregon-Washington (51%) ACC – Florida State has a 53 %possibility to win out (consisting of the ACC national championship), the second-highest possibility behind Notre Dame(60 %). – The Seminoles presently have a 68% opportunity to
make the playoff, 2nd just to Ohio State( 79%). – Probably championship game match
: Florida State-Louisville (70%)