Predicting sack totals for the NFL draft’s finest edge rushers:
The 2022 NFL draft had a strong class of edge rushes, and three were drafted in the leading five picks: Travon Walker (No. 1), Aidan Hutchinson (No. 2) and Kayvon Thibodeaux (No. 5).
Although not quite as loaded as the 2022 class, the 2023 draft class consists of 3 edge rushes who are projected to go in the first 10 picks: Will Anderson Jr., Myles Murphy and Tyree Wilson.SackSEER, Football Outsiders’statistical system for predicting the NFL success of college edge rushes, concurred that the 2022 class was strong. This year, nevertheless, SackSEER is much less bullish on the top available prospects.Indeed, SackSEER would rank the top prospect in
this year’s NFL draft behind all three of the leading edge rush prospects in last year’s class. That said, this could be a great draft for groups trying to find worth at edge rusher, as there are some appealing players who may still be on the board in the 2nd round.Here is a ranking of the top edge rusher prospects for 2023, together with their predicted sacks through 5 seasons and comparable historic compensations. Plus, we selected a prospective sleeper prospect to enjoy: