2023 NCAA Final 4 wagering preview: Can UConn’s historic success

Perhaps the wildest competition in NCAA history concludes Monday night. For the very first time considering that seeding started in 1979, not a single top-three seed reached the Last Four. That leaves 4-seed UConn as an odds-on favorite entering the Last Four.UConn entered the competition with 15-1 chances, connected for the eighth-shortest odds with Gonzaga. It would be the first team given that 2016 Villanova (15-1) to win the NCAA tournament with double-digit odds. It has steamrolled through the competition, covering games by 17.5 points per game, the second-highest mark of any team because the field expanded to 64 groups in 1985. Play Fantasy WNBA Basketball The 2023 Women’s Dream Basketball season has actually formally arrived! Produce or sign up with a league

today to get started.Sign up for totally free! However, the other three groups here hold true long shots, led by Florida Atlantic. The Owls entered 300-1

to win the NCAA competition

. That would be the longest pre-tournament odds by a champion since seeding began in 1979. In that period, the only group with odds of at least 40-1 to win all of it entering the competition was 2014 UConn at 95-1. San Diego State (65-1 )and Miami (40-1)likewise would be the second-biggest long shots to win the NCAA competition entering the event.All four teams have actually been profitable versus the spread this season, led by FAU (24-11-1)and UConn( 25-12 ). UConn is 14-1 ATS when facing non-Big East challengers.

However, Miami is the very best group in the country as an underdog over the previous 3 seasons, going 34-12 ATS. San Diego State has actually also been trending under, with each of its past 12 games going under the total.

( 9) Florida Atlantic Owls at(5)San Diego State Aztecs Saturday, 6:09 p.m. ET,

Houston Line: San Diego State -2 Cash Line: Florida Atlantic (+110) San Diego State (-130 )
Total: 132

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The 2023 dream baseball season is here! Get the gang back together, or start a brand name new tradition.Join or begin a league for free >> Florida Atlantic is 24-11-1

• ATS this season. FAU is 8-3 ATS in its past 11 games including 3-1 ATS in the NCAA competition. Overs are 19-17 in FAU games this season.Florida Atlantic is the only remaining group not to have covered

• every NCAA competition game (did not cover versus Fairleigh Dickinson ). Florida Atlantic is 6-2 outright and ATS as an underdog this season, including 3-0 outright in the NCAA tournament.San Diego State is 19-16-1 ATS this season. It has actually covered 6 straight games and is 15-5 ATS in its past 20 games. The Aztecs are 10-4 ATS as a favorite of 7.5 points or fewer.San Diego State has gone under the overall in 12 straight games. In General, San Diego State unders are 22-14 this season.(5)Miami Hurricanes at( 4)UConn Huskies Saturday, 8:49 p.m. ET, Houston Line: UConn -5.5 Money Line: Miami(+210)UConn(-260)Total: 149.5 Editor’s Picks 2 Related UConn is 25-12 ATS this season, consisting of 9-1 ATS in its previous 10 games. This will be the 36th time in 38 games UConn has actually been favored

  , which is the third-highest portion in D-I behind Houston (37 of 37)and Arizona (34 of

  35). Miami is 21-14-1 ATS this season

  • , including 4-0 ATS in the NCAA tournament.Miami is 9-2 ATS as an underdog this season( 7-4 straight-out ), consisting of 9-1 ATS in its past 10 games as an underdog and 5-0 ATS as an underdog of a minimum of 3.5 points. Over the past 3 seasons, Miami is 34-12 ATS as an underdog, the very best mark of any group because span (minimum 20 games as underdog). Miami is 8-1 ATS in the past 2 NCAA tournaments.Big East

  • groups are 22-11 ATS in the Last Four since 1985 competition expansion. ACC teams are 27-22 ATS in that period, but they are 18-9 ATS since 2001. Overs are 20-17 in UConn games this season. Unders are 18-17-1 in Miami games.UConn is 8-1 outright and 7-2 ATS all-time in the Last Four.UConn is 14-1 ATS in nonconference games this

  • season. The Huskies are likewise 8-1 ATS in neutral-site games.UConn is covering competition games by an average of 17.5 PPG, the second-best mark by any Last Four group getting in the Final Four given that the tournament transferred to 64 groups in 1985, just behind 2011 VCU(18.3)

  • . UConn has actually been favored in every game, while VCU was an underdog in every game that year.A Miami upset(

    +5.5) would be the second-largest Last Four upset in the past 20 years, behind

    only 2014 UConn (+6.5) over Florida in the semifinals. The last five-point underdog to win outright was Wisconsin in 2015(+5)when it upset unbeaten Kentucky.